Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.034650 0.040280 0.046536 0.054002 0.062673 0.072428 0.084243
2025-11-30 0.026104 0.033533 0.042638 0.054624 0.070000 0.089084 0.114607
2025-12-07 0.020593 0.028550 0.039061 0.053975 0.074621 0.102244 0.142110
2025-12-14 0.016648 0.024569 0.035695 0.052482 0.077218 0.112419 0.166503
2025-12-21 0.013782 0.021464 0.032841 0.050939 0.079084 0.121326 0.189830
2025-12-28 0.012193 0.019922 0.031923 0.051937 0.084598 0.136002 0.223491
2026-01-04 0.010767 0.018376 0.030708 0.052179 0.088785 0.148946 0.255946
2026-01-11 0.009575 0.017014 0.029555 0.052277 0.092614 0.161609 0.289422
2026-01-18 0.008688 0.016029 0.028872 0.053022 0.097546 0.176603 0.328744
2026-01-25 0.008030 0.015349 0.028606 0.054425 0.103754 0.194486 0.375489
2026-02-01 0.007049 0.013931 0.026812 0.052741 0.103975 0.201396 0.402455
2026-02-08 0.006370 0.012997 0.025794 0.052380 0.106627 0.213104 0.440098
2026-02-15 0.005737 0.012083 0.024725 0.051826 0.108920 0.224587 0.479279
2026-02-22 0.005336 0.011589 0.024430 0.052813 0.114497 0.243371 0.536228
2026-03-01 0.004837 0.010820 0.023470 0.052263 0.116740 0.255493 0.580495
2026-03-08 0.004323 0.009951 0.022186 0.050832 0.116854 0.263034 0.615570
2026-03-15 0.003868 0.009151 0.020950 0.049341 0.116619 0.269736 0.649561
2026-03-22 0.003642 0.008851 0.020795 0.050309 0.122172 0.290174 0.718562
2026-03-29 0.003388 0.008449 0.020355 0.050543 0.126005 0.307066 0.781244
2026-04-05 0.003150 0.008056 0.019884 0.050638 0.129501 0.323568 0.845168
2026-04-12 0.002970 0.007784 0.019676 0.051359 0.134656 0.344754 0.923933
2026-04-19 0.002839 0.007621 0.019716 0.052718 0.141623 0.371338 1.020493
2026-04-26 0.002568 0.007056 0.018667 0.051087 0.140502 0.376975 1.061418